Despite a return to form last weekend, Everton's away record remains one of the worst in the country, as they have won only three games on the road since fans were permitted back into stadiums.
Fulham have only lost once at Craven Cottage this season, and while they may struggle to break through Everton's strong defence at will, they have seemingly found a way to score past most teams this season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Everton had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
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