SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 71.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Everton had a probability of 10.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.95%) and 0-3 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Manchester City |
| 10.84% | 17.46% | 71.7% |
| Both teams to score 47.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.43% | 41.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.02% | 63.98% |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.12% | 46.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.6% | 82.4% |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.73% | 10.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.36% | 33.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Manchester City |
| 1-0 @ 3.65% 2-1 @ 3.15% 2-0 @ 1.38% 3-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.76% Total : 10.84% | 1-1 @ 8.3% 0-0 @ 4.82% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.77% Total : 17.46% | 0-2 @ 12.47% 0-1 @ 10.95% 0-3 @ 9.46% 1-2 @ 9.45% 1-3 @ 7.17% 0-4 @ 5.38% 1-4 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 2.72% 0-5 @ 2.45% 1-5 @ 1.86% 2-4 @ 1.55% 0-6 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.23% Total : 71.69% |
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