Premier League | Gameweek 27

Feb 26, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
0 - 1
Man City

van de Beek (27'), Allan (57'), Alli (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Foden (82')
Ederson (87'), Foden (89')

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The Match

We said: Everton 0-3 Manchester City

Everton failed to breach Southampton's backline last weekend, so finding the net against the Premier League's tightest defence could prove challenging on Saturday. Even if the Toffees were to score, Man City are deadly at the other end, having scored at least twice in 17 of their 26 league games this term. A comfortable three points for Guardiola's men could be on the cards at Goodison. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 71.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Everton had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.95%) and 0-3 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Manchester City
10.84%	17.46%	71.7%

Both teams to score 47.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.43%

41.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.02%

63.98%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.12%

46.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.6%

82.4%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.73%

10.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.36%

33.65%

Score Analysis

Everton 10.84%

Manchester City 71.69%

Draw 17.46%

Everton	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 3.65% 2-1 @ 3.15% 2-0 @ 1.38% 3-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.76% Total : 10.84%	1-1 @ 8.3% 0-0 @ 4.82% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.77% Total : 17.46%	0-2 @ 12.47% 0-1 @ 10.95% 0-3 @ 9.46% 1-2 @ 9.45% 1-3 @ 7.17% 0-4 @ 5.38% 1-4 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 2.72% 0-5 @ 2.45% 1-5 @ 1.86% 2-4 @ 1.55% 0-6 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.23% Total : 71.69%