We said: Everton 0-3 Manchester City
Everton failed to breach Southampton's backline last weekend, so finding the net against the Premier League's tightest defence could prove challenging on Saturday.
Even if the Toffees were to score, Man City are deadly at the other end, having scored at least twice in 17 of their 26 league games this term. A comfortable three points for Guardiola's men could be on the cards at Goodison.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 71.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Everton had a probability of 10.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.95%) and 0-3 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
