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Premier League | Gameweek 24
Feb 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Etihad Stadium
BL

Man City
2 - 0
Brentford

Mahrez (40' pen.), De Bruyne (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

We said: Manchester City 3-0 Brentford

From the highs of beating Arsenal on the opening day to the current predicament they find themselves in, Brentford may start to look over their shoulder if this game pans out as expected. The Bees just cannot shut up shop away from home and are visiting a Man City side in imperious form as they march towards the title, so another straightforward success surely awaits the champions in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 85.57%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 4.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 4-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.59%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (1.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawBrentford
85.57%9.79%4.65%
Both teams to score 45.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.09%26.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.61%47.4%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.72%4.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.2%17.81%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.84%52.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.89%86.11%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 85.56%
    Brentford 4.65%
    Draw 9.79%
Manchester CityDrawBrentford
3-0 @ 11.66%
2-0 @ 11.1%
4-0 @ 9.19%
3-1 @ 7.59%
2-1 @ 7.23%
1-0 @ 7.05%
4-1 @ 5.98%
5-0 @ 5.79%
5-1 @ 3.77%
6-0 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.47%
6-1 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.95%
7-0 @ 1.37%
5-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 85.56%
1-1 @ 4.59%
2-2 @ 2.35%
0-0 @ 2.24%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 9.79%
1-2 @ 1.49%
0-1 @ 1.46%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 4.65%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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