We said: Manchester City 3-1 Fulham
Fulham have a taste for goals, Carvalho's rapid rise is showing no signs of showing down, and Mitrovic continues to be unplayable. Those factors may lead to optimism within the Craven Cottage ranks that a famous result at the Etihad is calling.
Silva ought to put out the strongest side possible amid his side's Championship title charge, but a refreshed Man City outfit and their abundance of attacking talent should still prove too strong for the Cottagers' backline.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 57.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 20.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
