SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Crystal Palace |
43.64% ( 0.66) | 24.31% ( 0.32) | 32.05% ( -0.98) |
| Both teams to score 59.06% ( -1.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.52% ( -1.87) | 43.48% ( 1.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.13% ( -1.86) | 65.87% ( 1.86) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( -0.48) | 20.08% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.68% ( -0.78) | 52.31% ( 0.78) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.9% ( -1.49) | 26.1% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.84% ( -2.05) | 61.16% ( 2.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.55)2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.96% Total : 43.64% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.42)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.05% |
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