Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.44%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Leicester City |
43.2% ( -0.38) | 22.51% ( -0.01) | 34.3% ( 0.4) |
Both teams to score 66.63% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.08% ( 0.19) | 33.92% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.22% ( 0.21) | 55.77% ( -0.21) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.61% ( -0.07) | 16.39% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.98% ( -0.13) | 46.02% ( 0.13) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.69% ( 0.29) | 20.31% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.31% ( 0.46) | 52.68% ( -0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Leicester City |
2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.64% Total : 43.2% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.51% | 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.04% Total : 34.3% |
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