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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
47.35% ( -0.18) | 23.42% | 29.23% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 60.63% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.27% ( 0.1) | 40.73% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.89% ( 0.1) | 63.11% ( -0.1) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.54% ( -0.03) | 17.46% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.07% ( -0.06) | 47.93% ( 0.06) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% ( 0.17) | 26.54% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.25% ( 0.23) | 61.75% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 3.93% Total : 47.35% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.23% |
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