SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 50.81%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Ipswich Town |
50.81% ( 0.01) | 22.22% | 26.98% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.16% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.38% ( -0.02) | 36.62% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.23% ( -0.02) | 58.77% ( 0.02) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.31% | 14.69% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.14% ( -0) | 42.86% ( 0) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.04% ( -0.02) | 25.96% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.03% ( -0.02) | 60.97% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 4.28% Total : 50.81% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 26.98% |
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