Premier League | Gameweek 4

Sep 12, 2021 at 4.30pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
0 - 3
Liverpool

Cooper (12'), Llorente (31')
Struijk (60')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Salah (20'), Fabinho (50'), Mane (90+2')
Fabinho (16')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 54.93%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 23.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Liverpool
23.47%	21.6%	54.93%

Both teams to score 61.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.88%

37.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.68%

59.32%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.14%

28.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.27%

64.73%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.46%

13.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.38%

40.62%

Score Analysis

Leeds United 23.47%

Liverpool 54.93%

Draw 21.61%

Leeds United	Draw	Liverpool
2-1 @ 6.03% 1-0 @ 4.86% 2-0 @ 3.02% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.31% Total : 23.47%	1-1 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 3.91% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.61%	1-2 @ 9.71% 0-1 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 7.81% 1-3 @ 6.47% 0-3 @ 5.21% 2-3 @ 4.02% 1-4 @ 3.23% 0-4 @ 2.6% 2-4 @ 2.01% 1-5 @ 1.29% 0-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.72% Total : 54.93%