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Premier League | Gameweek 26
Feb 20, 2022 at 2pm UK
Elland Road
MU

Leeds
2 - 4
Man Utd

Rodrigo (53'), Raphinha (54')
Struijk (61'), Ayling (68'), Forshaw (76'), Raphinha (81'), Firpo (90+2'), Klich (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Maguire (34'), Fernandes (45+5'), Fred (70'), Elanga (88')
Ronaldo (56'), McTominay (78'), Shaw (90+2')

We said: Leeds United 1-2 Manchester United

Elland Road will be bouncing on Sunday, with the Leeds fans desperate to get one over on their rivals, and it should be an entertaining game between two attacking sides. The Whites have more than enough quality to find the back of the net, but we believe that Man United will shade a close contest to secure another important three points in their pursuit of a top-four finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawManchester United
26.12%23.24%50.64%
Both teams to score 58.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.83%42.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.42%64.58%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5%29.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49%65.51%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23%16.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.29%46.71%
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 26.12%
    Manchester United 50.64%
    Draw 23.24%
Leeds UnitedDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 6.58%
1-0 @ 6.04%
2-0 @ 3.69%
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.39%
3-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 26.12%
1-1 @ 10.78%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.24%
1-2 @ 9.63%
0-1 @ 8.83%
0-2 @ 7.89%
1-3 @ 5.73%
0-3 @ 4.7%
2-3 @ 3.5%
1-4 @ 2.56%
0-4 @ 2.1%
2-4 @ 1.56%
1-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 50.64%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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