We say: Manchester United 2-1 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough will head to Old Trafford full of confidence, and the Championship side are more than capable of making this a tricky affair for Man United. The Red Devils showed plenty of positive signs against West Ham last time out, though, and we are backing them to progress to the fifth round of the competition.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 58.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Middlesbrough win it was 0-1 (5.96%).