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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 16, 2022 at 2pm UK
London Stadium
LL

West Ham
2 - 3
Leeds

Bowen (34'), Fornals (52')
Antonio (24'), Lanzini (62'), Yarmolenko (77')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Harrison (10', 37', 60')
Koch (45'), James (88')

We said: West Ham United 2-1 Leeds United

This is an important game for West Ham in terms of their top-four hopes, and it would be huge for the Hammers if they could record another win ahead of their trip to Man United. We are expecting Leeds to make it difficult for the home side but believe that West Ham will navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 18.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawLeeds United
58.19%23.34%18.46%
Both teams to score 48.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.81%51.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.97%73.03%
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67%17.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.3%47.7%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.24%41.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.77%78.23%
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 58.18%
    Leeds United 18.46%
    Draw 23.34%
West Ham UnitedDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 12.68%
2-0 @ 11.11%
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 5.67%
4-0 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-2 @ 1.09%
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 58.18%
1-1 @ 11.07%
0-0 @ 7.24%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.34%
0-1 @ 6.32%
1-2 @ 4.84%
0-2 @ 2.76%
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.46%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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