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Premier League | Gameweek 35
Apr 30, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
St James' Park
LL

Newcastle
0 - 1
Liverpool


Joelinton (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Keita (19')
Jota (43'), Gomez (51'), Mane (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League
Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield

We said: Newcastle United 1-3 Liverpool

An altered Liverpool XI coupled with Newcastle's stellar run both in recent weeks and at home in 2022 means that a shock result is not beyond the realm of possibility this week, and at the very least, the Magpies should find a way through the Reds' backline here. However, Klopp's side were thoroughly professional in midweek, and the German coach has a wealth of top-quality options to freshen the team up, so we can only picture the Merseysiders temporarily returning to the summit with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 65.62%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 15.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawLiverpool
15.15%19.23%65.62%
Both teams to score 54.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.88%39.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.55%61.45%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.41%38.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.66%75.34%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.85%11.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.4%35.6%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 15.15%
    Liverpool 65.62%
    Draw 19.23%
Newcastle UnitedDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 4.28%
1-0 @ 4.1%
2-0 @ 1.95%
3-2 @ 1.49%
3-1 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 15.15%
1-1 @ 8.99%
2-2 @ 4.69%
0-0 @ 4.3%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.23%
0-2 @ 10.35%
1-2 @ 9.86%
0-1 @ 9.44%
0-3 @ 7.57%
1-3 @ 7.21%
0-4 @ 4.16%
1-4 @ 3.96%
2-3 @ 3.43%
2-4 @ 1.88%
0-5 @ 1.82%
1-5 @ 1.74%
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 65.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Norwich 0-3 Newcastle
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Crystal Palace
Wednesday, April 20 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Leicester
Sunday, April 17 at 2.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Wolves
Friday, April 8 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 5-1 Newcastle
Sunday, April 3 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-0 Newcastle
Thursday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Villarreal
Wednesday, April 27 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Everton
Sunday, April 24 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 4-0 Man Utd
Tuesday, April 19 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 2-3 Liverpool
Saturday, April 16 at 3.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 3-3 Benfica
Wednesday, April 13 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 2-2 Liverpool
Sunday, April 10 at 4.30pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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