SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| 15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester City | 38 | 73 | 93 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 38 | 68 | 92 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 38 | 43 | 74 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 68.58%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 13.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Liverpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Liverpool |
13.71% ( -0.06) | 17.71% ( 0) | 68.58% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.26% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.91% ( -0.16) | 35.09% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.91% ( -0.18) | 57.1% ( 0.18) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.03% ( -0.19) | 37.97% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.26% ( -0.19) | 74.74% ( 0.19) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.7% ( -0.03) | 9.31% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.6% ( -0.07) | 31.41% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.66% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 13.71% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.71% | 0-2 @ 9.96% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0)0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 7.89% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 7.64% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 4.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 2.22% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.53% Total : 68.58% |
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