We said: Arsenal 1-2 Manchester City
Arsenal will be feeling good about themselves after a strong run of results, and we are expecting this to be a tight contest at the Emirates Stadium. Man City's record against the Gunners cannot be ignored, though, and we are backing Guardiola's side to pick up another three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Arsenal had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for an Arsenal win it was 1-0 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
