We said: Swindon Town 0-4 Manchester City
Manchester City will make a number of alterations in all areas of the field for Friday's game, but we cannot envisage any other result than a comfortable success for the Premier League champions.
Swindon produced a goal-laden performance at the weekend and will fancy their chances against a youthful backline, but Guardiola will have the big-hitters in reserve ready to make an impact if necessary.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 75.39%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 9.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 2-1 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
