Brentford
0 - 1
Man City

FT(HT: 0-1)

Foden (16')

Build‑up

Preview

The Match

We said: Brentford 1-3 Manchester City

Guardiola and City may very well have one eye on the impending showdown with Arsenal, but that should not impact their hopes of a routine win over an inconsistent Brentford. The Bees have performed valiantly against the big teams on home soil, but amid an absentee crisis which is not letting up, City ought to record a 10th successive Premier League win in style. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-0 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Manchester City
15.07%	20.09%	64.85%

Both teams to score 51.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.72%

43.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.32%

65.68%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.71%

41.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.19%

77.81%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.42%

12.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.33%

38.67%

Score Analysis

Brentford 15.07%

Manchester City 64.84%

Draw 20.09%

Brentford	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 4.6% 2-1 @ 4.21% 2-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.29% 3-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.69% Total : 15.07%	1-1 @ 9.53% 0-0 @ 5.2% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 1% Total : 20.09%	0-2 @ 11.16% 0-1 @ 10.76% 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-3 @ 7.71% 1-3 @ 6.82% 0-4 @ 4% 1-4 @ 3.54% 2-3 @ 3.02% 0-5 @ 1.66% 2-4 @ 1.56% 1-5 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.27% Total : 64.84%