Man City
1 - 0
Brighton

Foden (44')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Veltman (62'), Webster (77')

Build‑up

Phil Foden full of confidence amid impressive form

Pep Guardiola: 'Phil Foden is earning starting position'

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 77.68%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 8.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.38%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-2 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
77.68%	13.82%	8.5%

Both teams to score 52.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.92%

31.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.51%

52.49%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.55%

6.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.86%

24.13%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.71%

44.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.64%

80.36%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 77.67%

Brighton & Hove Albion 8.5%

Draw 13.82%

Manchester City	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-0 @ 10.73% 3-0 @ 9.81% 2-1 @ 8.74% 3-1 @ 7.99% 1-0 @ 7.83% 4-0 @ 6.73% 4-1 @ 5.48% 5-0 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 3.25% 5-1 @ 3% 4-2 @ 2.23% 6-0 @ 1.69% 6-1 @ 1.37% 5-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.91% Total : 77.67%	1-1 @ 6.38% 2-2 @ 3.56% 0-0 @ 2.86% Other @ 1.02% Total : 13.82%	1-2 @ 2.6% 0-1 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 0.97% 0-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.67% Total : 8.5%