Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 71.35%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 10.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.72%) and 0-3 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-0 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
