Premier League | Gameweek 35

Jul 11, 2020 at 8pm UK

The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton
0 - 5
Man City

Bissouma (83')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Sterling (21', 53', 81'), Jesus (44'), Silva (56')

Guardiola confident over Man City's Champions League ban

Pep Guardiola certain Manchester City will succeed in Champions League appeal

Raheem Sterling: 'Trophies more important than goals'

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 71.35%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 10.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.72%) and 0-3 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-0 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Manchester City
10.76%	17.89%	71.35%

Both teams to score 45.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.26%

43.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.87%

66.13%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.57%

48.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.46%

83.54%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.06%

10.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.84%

35.16%

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 10.76%

Manchester City 71.34%

Draw 17.89%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 3.84% 2-1 @ 3.08% 2-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.45% Total : 10.76%	1-1 @ 8.5% 0-0 @ 5.3% 2-2 @ 3.41% Other @ 0.67% Total : 17.89%	0-2 @ 12.97% 0-1 @ 11.72% 0-3 @ 9.57% 1-2 @ 9.41% 1-3 @ 6.94% 0-4 @ 5.29% 1-4 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-5 @ 2.34% 1-5 @ 1.7% 2-4 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.67% Total : 71.34%