Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 70.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 11.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
