Burnley
1 - 2
Newcastle

Vydra (18')
Brownhill (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Murphy (59'), Saint-Maximin (64')

Preview

Saint-Maximin: 'Newcastle can never go down'

Steve Bruce highlights Allan Saint-Maximin's importance

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Newcastle United
38.25%	28.74%	33%

Both teams to score 45.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.88%

61.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.92%

81.08%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.09%

30.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.8%

67.19%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.66%

34.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.96%

71.04%

Score Analysis

Burnley 38.25%

Newcastle United 33%

Draw 28.74%

Burnley	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 12.46% 2-1 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 3.1% Total : 38.25%	1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 10.61% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.74%	0-1 @ 11.34% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.29% Total : 33%