Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 53.48%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%).
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Newcastle United |
53.48% ( 29.27) | 21.73% ( -0.08) | 24.78% ( -29.19) |
Both teams to score 62.64% ( 0.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.67% ( 0.99) | 36.33% ( -0.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.54% ( 1.08) | 58.46% ( -1.08) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.27% ( 14.65) | 13.72% ( -14.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.02% ( 23.14) | 40.98% ( -23.15) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.6% ( -13.49) | 27.4% ( 13.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.13% ( -21.53) | 62.87% ( 21.52) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 3.43) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 2.5) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 4.28) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 3.76) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 3.6) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( 1.56) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 2.34) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 2.02) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 1.24) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 1.05) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.86) Other @ 3.76% Total : 53.48% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.74% | 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -3.41) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( -2.92) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( -4.53) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -3.66) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -1.32) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -3.69) Other @ 3.76% Total : 24.78% |
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