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EFL Cup | Third Round
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
AW

Newcastle
vs.
AFC Wimbledon

 

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Fulham 3-1 Newcastle
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Premier League

We say: AFC Wimbledon 0-3 Newcastle United

Staunch defending has come naturally to Wimbledon in recent weeks, and the hosts should be paid the respect that they deserve from Newcastle after already dumping out one top-flight side. However, even a second-string Magpies team should make light work of their League Two opponents, as Howe gets the response he is after to the weekend's disappointment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 53.48%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%).

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawNewcastle United
53.48% (29.274 29.27) 21.73% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 24.78% (-29.194 -29.19)
Both teams to score 62.64% (0.977 0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.67% (0.991 0.99)36.33% (-0.993 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.54% (1.076 1.08)58.46% (-1.078 -1.08)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.27% (14.652 14.65)13.72% (-14.655 -14.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.02% (23.142 23.14)40.98% (-23.145 -23.15)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (-13.49 -13.49)27.4% (13.488 13.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.13% (-21.525 -21.53)62.87% (21.522 21.52)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 53.48%
    Newcastle United 24.78%
    Draw 21.74%
AFC WimbledonDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 9.6% (3.425 3.43)
1-0 @ 7.47% (2.496 2.5)
2-0 @ 7.42% (4.284 4.28)
3-1 @ 6.36% (3.763 3.76)
3-0 @ 4.91% (3.595 3.6)
3-2 @ 4.12% (1.557 1.56)
4-1 @ 3.16% (2.339 2.34)
4-0 @ 2.44% (2.023 2.02)
4-2 @ 2.04% (1.238 1.24)
5-1 @ 1.25% (1.048 1.05)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.864 0.86)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 53.48%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.123 0.12)
0-0 @ 3.76% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.74%
1-2 @ 6.26% (-3.414 -3.41)
0-1 @ 4.87% (-2.918 -2.92)
0-2 @ 3.15% (-4.529 -4.53)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-3.66 -3.66)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-1.324 -1.32)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-3.69 -3.69)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 24.78%

Form Guide
Last Game: Bradford 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Ipswich (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Wycombe
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Fulham 3-1 Newcastle
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Spurs
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Newcastle (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 28 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-1 Newcastle
Sunday, August 25 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Premier League


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