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EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
WL

Brighton
3 - 2
Wolves

Balepa (14'), Adingra (31'), Kadioglu (85')
Estupinan (36'), Hinshelwood (47'), Ferguson (62'), Moder (68'), Webster (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Guedes (44'), Doyle (90+1')
Sarabia (45+1'), Doyle (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Ipswich
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers

With a mounting injury list, Brighton are likely to rest the majority of their key players from the start on Wednesday, handing Wolves a glimmer of hope as they aim to progress into the fourth round. That being said, the Seagulls have home advantage and should be able to book their spot in the next stage against a visiting side who have not won on their travels since February. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 68.98%. A draw has a probability of 17% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers has a probability of 14.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it is 1-2 (3.96%).

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
68.98% (-0.31100000000001 -0.31) 16.95% (0.16 0.16) 14.06% (0.149 0.15)
Both teams to score 60.41% (-0.217 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.64% (-0.453 -0.45)30.36% (0.452 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.37% (-0.544 -0.54)51.62% (0.543 0.54)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92% (-0.178 -0.18)8% (0.1769 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.8% (-0.453 -0.45)28.2% (0.451 0.45)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)34.33% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (-0.115 -0.12)71.04% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 68.98%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 14.06%
    Draw 16.95%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.89% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.38% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.94% (0.115 0.11)
4-1 @ 4.98% (-0.063999999999999 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.66% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.22% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.66% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.52% (-0.055 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.35% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.35% (-0.033 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.06% (-0.033 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.99% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 68.98%
1-1 @ 7.42% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.75% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 16.95%
1-2 @ 3.96% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 2.94% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.57% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 14.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Ipswich
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 4-0 Crawley
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Man Utd
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 0-3 Brighton
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 4-0 Villarreal
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Wolves
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 2-0 Burnley
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Wolves 2-6 Chelsea
Sunday, August 25 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Wolves
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3


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