SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 68.98%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 14.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
68.98% ( 0.57) | 16.95% ( -0.15) | 14.06% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 60.41% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.64% ( -0.22) | 30.36% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.37% ( -0.27) | 51.62% ( 0.27) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92% ( 0.06) | 8% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.8% ( 0.16) | 28.2% ( -0.15) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.67% ( -0.68) | 34.33% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.96% ( -0.74) | 71.04% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.16)1-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 68.98% | 1-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.28% Total : 16.95% | 1-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.4% Total : 14.06% |
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