Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
46.16% ( 0.01)	23.81%	30.03% ( -0)

Both teams to score 59.79% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.94% (

42.06% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.53%

64.47% (

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.56% (

18.44% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.38% (

49.62% (

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.31% (

-0)

26.69% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.06% (

-0)

61.94% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 46.16%

Brighton & Hove Albion 30.03%

Draw 23.8%

Newcastle United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 9.29% 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.52% Total : 46.16%	1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 7.26% 0-1 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.13% Total : 30.03%