MX23RW : Friday, March 29 06:11:48
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Watford vs. Leeds: 13 hrs 48 mins
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Premier League | Gameweek 25
May 18, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
St James' Park
BL

Newcastle
4 - 1
Brighton

Undav (22' og.), Burn (45+4'), Wilson (89'), Guimaraes (90+1')
Guimaraes (30'), Schar (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Undav (51')
Undav (45+2'), Gross (57'), Mac Allister (64'), Paul van Hecke (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Newcastle
Saturday, May 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
46.16% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 23.81%30.03% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 59.79% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.94% (0.00099999999999767 0)42.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53%64.47% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.56% (0.0040000000000049 0)18.44% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.38% (0.0020000000000024 0)49.62% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)26.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)61.94% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 46.16%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 30.03%
    Draw 23.8%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 9.29%
1-0 @ 8.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 46.16%
1-1 @ 10.99%
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.8%
1-2 @ 7.26%
0-1 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 4.3%
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 1.89%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 30.03%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Newcastle
Saturday, May 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-2 Arsenal
Sunday, May 7 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 3-1 Southampton
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-4 Newcastle
Thursday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 6-1 Spurs
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-0 Newcastle
Saturday, April 15 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-3 Brighton
Sunday, May 14 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-5 Everton
Monday, May 8 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Man Utd
Thursday, May 4 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 6-0 Wolves
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 3-1 Brighton
Wednesday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Man Utd (6-7 pen.)
Sunday, April 23 at 4.30pm in FA Cup


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