SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 54.16%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 23.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Fulham |
54.16% ( -0.01) | 22.09% ( -0) | 23.74% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.07% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.84% ( 0.01) | 39.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.51% ( 0.02) | 61.48% ( -0.02) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.52% ( 0) | 14.47% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.54% ( 0) | 42.45% ( -0.01) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.24% ( 0.02) | 29.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.17% ( 0.02) | 65.82% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Fulham |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.28% 3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.25% Total : 54.16% | 1-1 @ 10.09% 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.09% | 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.22% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 23.74% |
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