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Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 25, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
NL

Watford
1 - 1
Newcastle

Sarr (72')
Dennis (17'), Troost-Ekong (40'), Rose (56'), Cathcart (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Longstaff (23')
Manquillo (18'), Ritchie (30'), Darlow (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawNewcastle United
44.85%25.84%29.31%
Both teams to score 52.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.64%51.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.82%73.18%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16%22.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44%56.56%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.1%31.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.65%68.35%
Score Analysis
    Watford 44.84%
    Newcastle United 29.31%
    Draw 25.84%
WatfordDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 9.08%
2-0 @ 7.94%
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 2.55%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 44.84%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 7.28%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.32%
1-2 @ 7.02%
0-2 @ 4.76%
1-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 29.31%

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