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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2021 at 8pm UK
St James' Park
LL

Newcastle
1 - 1
Leeds

Saint-Maximin (44')
Ritchie (8'), Almiron (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Raphinha (13')
Rodrigo (57'), Firpo (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeeds United
31.88%26.08%42.04%
Both teams to score 53.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.71%51.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.88%73.12%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.94%30.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81%66.19%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83%24.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.51%58.49%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 31.88%
    Leeds United 42.04%
    Draw 26.08%
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.73%
2-1 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 2.12%
3-0 @ 2.1%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 31.88%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.26%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 10.31%
1-2 @ 8.81%
0-2 @ 7.33%
1-3 @ 4.17%
0-3 @ 3.47%
2-3 @ 2.51%
1-4 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 42.04%

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