Premier League | Gameweek 4

Sep 11, 2021 at 3pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
4 - 1
Newcastle

Ronaldo (45+2', 62'), Fernandes (80'), Lingard (90+2')
Pogba (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Manquillo (56')

'Cristiano lifts everyone' - Ole Gunnar Solskjaer hails returning Ronaldo

Ronaldo reacts to two-goal display on Man United return

Solskjaer: 'Ronaldo gave speech to Man United players on Friday'

Fernandes reacts to "almost perfect" day for Man United

Steve Bruce calls Cristiano Ronaldo "a genuine superstar"

A closer look at Ronaldo's return to Manchester United

A look at Cristiano Ronaldo's performance against Newcastle

Cristiano Ronaldo scores on his Manchester United return

Solskjaer explains Cavani absence against Newcastle

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 69.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 11.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Newcastle United
69.88%	18.48%	11.64%

Both teams to score 46.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.99%

44.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.61%

66.4%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.6%

11.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.83%

36.17%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.99%

47.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.5%

82.5%

Score Analysis

Manchester United 69.87%

Newcastle United 11.64%

Draw 18.48%

Manchester United	Draw	Newcastle United
2-0 @ 12.63% 1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 9.15% 3-1 @ 6.9% 4-0 @ 4.96% 4-1 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 2.61% 5-0 @ 2.16% 5-1 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.5% Total : 69.87%	1-1 @ 8.79% 0-0 @ 5.36% 2-2 @ 3.6% Other @ 0.73% Total : 18.48%	0-1 @ 4.05% 1-2 @ 3.32% 0-2 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.84% Total : 11.64%