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Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 15, 2023 at 8pm UK
The City Ground
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Nott'm Forest
0 - 2
Spurs


Murillo (82'), Toffolo (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Richarlison (45+2'), Kulusevski (65')
Udogie (42'), Sarr (54'), Davies (73'), Heung-min (79')
Bissouma (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 1-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 4-1 Newcastle
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawTottenham Hotspur
32.92% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 24.12% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 42.96% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 60.1% (0.151 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.73% (0.208 0.21)42.26% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (0.208 0.21)64.67% (-0.20899999999999 -0.21)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (0.054000000000002 0.05)24.99% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36% (0.075000000000003 0.08)59.64% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12% (0.142 0.14)19.88% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.01% (0.23 0.23)51.99% (-0.23 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 32.92%
    Tottenham Hotspur 42.96%
    Draw 24.11%
Nottingham ForestDrawTottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.89% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.78% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.92%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 8.99% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.02% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.84% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.49% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.36% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.96% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 42.96%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Wolves 1-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 5-0 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-1 Everton
Saturday, December 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-3 Brighton
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 3-2 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 4-1 Newcastle
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-2 West Ham
Thursday, December 7 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 3-3 Spurs
Sunday, December 3 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 2-1 Spurs
Saturday, November 11 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-4 Chelsea
Monday, November 6 at 8pm in Premier League


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