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Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Dean Court
NF

Bournemouth
1 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Anthony (28')
Kelly (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Surridge (83')
Worrall (36'), Scarpa (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 2-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawNottingham Forest
44.07% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 26.04% (-0.026 -0.03) 29.9% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.27% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.13% (0.113 0.11)51.87% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.38% (0.099 0.1)73.63% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (0.046999999999997 0.05)23.43% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57% (0.069000000000003 0.07)57.43% (-0.07 -0.07)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (0.078000000000003 0.08)31.74% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.84% (0.088999999999999 0.09)68.16% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 44.07%
    Nottingham Forest 29.9%
    Draw 26.03%
BournemouthDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 10.79% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 7.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 44.07%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.53% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 29.9%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Brentford 2-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-4 Burnley
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Bournemouth
Tuesday, January 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, December 31 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Bournemouth
Tuesday, December 27 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Bournemouth
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-0 Leicester
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Wolves (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, January 11 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Blackpool 4-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Chelsea
Sunday, January 1 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, December 27 at 8pm in Premier League


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