Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
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