Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.52%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 5.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.88%) and 0-1 (11.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.09%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Manchester City in this match.
