SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Tottenham Hotspur | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | West Ham United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Tottenham Hotspur | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Southampton |
62.46% ( 0.02) | 20.37% ( -0.05) | 17.17% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.49% ( 0.25) | 40.51% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.11% ( 0.26) | 62.89% ( -0.26) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.58% ( 0.08) | 12.42% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.68% ( 0.17) | 38.32% ( -0.18) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.05% ( 0.18) | 36.95% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.27% ( 0.18) | 73.73% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.62% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.64% Total : 62.46% | 1-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 17.17% |
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