A two-week period with no Premier League action may be just the tonic that Southampton needed to recover from their abysmal streak, and Leeds are yet to find the optimal defensive formula under Marsch. Confidence will be through the roof in the Elland Road ranks following the five-goal thriller at Molineux, but a refreshed Southampton can take advantage of the hosts' ongoing fitness woes to take a point home from an entertaining clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Southampton
50.14%	24.24%	25.62%

Both teams to score 54.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.96%

47.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.72%

69.28%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.21%

18.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.79%

50.21%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.52%

32.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31%

69.01%

Score Analysis

Leeds United 50.14%

Southampton 25.62%

Draw 24.24%

Leeds United	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 5.34% 3-0 @ 4.75% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.23% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.24% Total : 50.14%	1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.24%	0-1 @ 6.86% 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.55% Total : 25.62%