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Premier League | Gameweek 8
Oct 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
LL

Southampton
1 - 0
Leeds

Broja (53')
Bednarek (75'), McCarthy (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Roberts (47'), Struijk (58'), Llorente (70')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLeeds United
30.51%28.15%41.33%
Both teams to score 46.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.39%59.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.06%79.94%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.66%35.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.9%72.1%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62%28.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88%64.12%
Score Analysis
    Southampton 30.51%
    Leeds United 41.33%
    Draw 28.14%
SouthamptonDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 10.43%
2-1 @ 6.83%
2-0 @ 5.43%
3-1 @ 2.37%
3-0 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 30.51%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 10.02%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.14%
0-1 @ 12.63%
1-2 @ 8.28%
0-2 @ 7.96%
1-3 @ 3.47%
0-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 1.81%
1-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 41.33%

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