Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Everton
36.2% ( 1.7)	23% ( -0.18)	40.8% ( -1.51)

Both teams to score 65.17% (

1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.98% (

1.26)

36.02% (

-1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.88% (

1.37)

58.12% (

-1.37)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.68% (

1.44)

20.32% (

-1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.3% (

2.24)

52.7% (

-2.24)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.78% (

-0.12)

18.22% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.76% (

-0.2)

49.24% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 36.2%

Everton 40.8%

Draw 23%

Luton Town	Draw	Everton
2-1 @ 8% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.1% Total : 36.2%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23%	1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.43) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.8% Total : 40.8%