We said: Southampton 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur
Southampton - albeit a much-changed one - are certainly capable of giving Spurs a good run for their money, with Conte also pondering how best to set up his team in the unrelenting schedule.
The Saints' solid home form should also stand them in good stead for Tuesday's battle, but if Spurs truly are a different beast under Conte, we are confident in the Lilywhites' ability to grind out a narrow away win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
