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Thursday, March 28
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Premier League | Gameweek 14
Dec 20, 2020 at 7.15pm UK
The Hawthorns
AV

West Brom
0 - 3
Aston Villa


Grant (62')
Livermore (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
El Ghazi (5', 88' pen.), Traore (84')
Hause (40'), Mings (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawAston Villa
33.89%25.34%40.77%
Both teams to score 56.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41%47.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21%69.79%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04%26.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7%62.3%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83%23.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.94%57.06%
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 33.89%
    Aston Villa 40.77%
    Draw 25.33%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 8.19%
2-1 @ 7.85%
2-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 2.51%
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.89%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 9.13%
1-2 @ 8.75%
0-2 @ 6.68%
1-3 @ 4.27%
0-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.8%
1-4 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 40.77%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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