Premier League | Gameweek 7

Nov 1, 2020 at 12pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
3 - 4
Southampton

Mings (62'), Watkins (90+3' pen.), Grealish (90+7')
Cash (43')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Vestergaard (20'), Ward-Prowse (33', 45'), Ings (58')
Ward-Prowse (12'), Diallo (90+2')

Hasenhuttl concerned as Ings prepares to undergo scan on injured knee

Ralph Hasenhuttl calls James Ward-Prowse the team's "role model"

The Match

Match Report

The Saints move up to third place with their 4-3 win.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Southampton, including predictions and team news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Southampton
32.07%	25.71%	42.22%

Both teams to score 54.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.32%

49.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.3%

71.7%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.87%

29.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.94%

65.06%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.62%

23.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.65%

57.35%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 32.07%

Southampton 42.22%

Draw 25.7%

Aston Villa	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 8.4% 2-1 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 5.18% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.07%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 8.87% 0-2 @ 7.19% 1-3 @ 4.3% 0-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.22%