Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
