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Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 31, 2023 at 2pm UK
Craven Cottage
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Fulham
2 - 1
Arsenal

Jimenez (29'), Reid (59')
Cairney (65'), Bassey (77'), Jimenez (90+2'), Leno (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Saka (5')
Saliba (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Fulham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 West Ham
Thursday, December 28 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
FulhamDrawArsenal
32.06% (0.326 0.33) 23.76% (0.37 0.37) 44.18% (-0.7 -0.7)
Both teams to score 61.05% (-1.198 -1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.12% (-1.64 -1.64)40.87% (1.635 1.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.74% (-1.694 -1.69)63.25% (1.689 1.69)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16% (-0.599 -0.6)24.83% (0.595 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.57% (-0.839 -0.84)59.42% (0.835 0.84)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.21% (-0.94200000000001 -0.94)18.78% (0.939 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.81% (-1.6 -1.6)50.19% (1.595 1.6)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 32.06%
    Arsenal 44.18%
    Draw 23.75%
FulhamDrawArsenal
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.082 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.5% (0.368 0.37)
2-0 @ 4.53% (0.182 0.18)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.1% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.06%
1-1 @ 10.86% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.34 0.34)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 9.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.8% (0.346 0.35)
0-2 @ 6.52% (0.098 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.06% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-3 @ 3.64% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.53% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-4 @ 2.12% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 44.18%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Fulham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 0-2 Burnley
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-1 Fulham (6-7 pen.)
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Newcastle 3-0 Fulham
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 5-0 West Ham
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 5-0 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 West Ham
Thursday, December 28 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Arsenal
Saturday, December 23 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Brighton
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: PSV 1-1 Arsenal
Tuesday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, December 9 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 3-4 Arsenal
Tuesday, December 5 at 8.15pm in Premier League


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