Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 55.6%. A draw has a probability of 22.9% and a win for Manchester United has a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline was Chelsea 1-1 Manchester United with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines were 1-0 (10.42%), 2-1 (9.86%), 2-0 (9.48%). The actual score line of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8%.