Premier League | Gameweek 13

Nov 28, 2021 at 4.30pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
1 - 1
Man Utd

Jorginho (69' pen.)
James (53'), Tuchel (90+3'), Jorginho (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sancho (50')
McTominay (45'), Rashford (49'), Fernandes (77'), Ronaldo (90+2'), Bailly (90+6')

Carrick: 'Benching Ronaldo my decision, not Rangnick's'

Tuchel praises Jorginho for taking 'courageous' penalty

Tuchel delighted with Chelsea display despite draw

Watch: Sancho opens scoring against Chelsea after Jorginho error

The Match

We said: Chelsea 2-0 Manchester United

United may possess some of the strongest attacking names the league has to offer and can boast some positive recent results against Chelsea, but Carrick's midfield and depleted defence do not inspire any confidence whatsoever. If the Blues are capable of producing half as good a showing as they did in midweek - even with a couple more injury woes to contend with - Tuchel's table-toppers should have no problem ending their winless streak against United here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 55.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 21.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Manchester United win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Manchester United
55.6%	22.93%	21.47%

Both teams to score 54.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.44%

45.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.11%

67.89%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.77%

16.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.26%

45.74%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.66%

35.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.91%

72.09%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 55.59%

Manchester United 21.47%

Draw 22.92%

Chelsea	Draw	Manchester United
1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 9.48% 3-1 @ 5.98% 3-0 @ 5.75% 3-2 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.72% 4-0 @ 2.61% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-1 @ 0.99% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.31% Total : 55.59%	1-1 @ 10.84% 0-0 @ 5.74% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.92%	0-1 @ 5.97% 1-2 @ 5.64% 0-2 @ 3.1% 1-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.95% Total : 21.47%