Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 77.97%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 7.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.06%) and 1-0 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chelsea | Draw | Burnley |
77.97% | 14.42% | 7.61% |
Both teams to score 44.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.13% | 37.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.87% | 60.13% |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.11% | 7.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.07% | 27.93% |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.65% | 51.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.43% | 85.58% |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea | Draw | Burnley |
2-0 @ 13.06% 3-0 @ 11.06% 1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 8.71% 3-1 @ 7.37% 4-0 @ 7.03% 4-1 @ 4.68% 5-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.46% 5-1 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.56% 6-0 @ 1.51% 6-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.27% Total : 77.96% | 1-1 @ 6.86% 0-0 @ 4.05% 2-2 @ 2.9% Other @ 0.61% Total : 14.42% | 0-1 @ 2.7% 1-2 @ 2.29% Other @ 2.62% Total : 7.61% |
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