Premier League | Gameweek 5

Sep 19, 2021 at 2pm UK

London Stadium

West Ham
1 - 2
Man Utd

Benrahma (30')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ronaldo (35'), Lingard (89')

David Moyes has no regrets over penalty call as Mark Noble miss costs West Ham

Solskjaer "expected" Noble to score penalty against De Gea

Solskjaer delighted with response against West Ham

Jesse Lingard keen to "move on" with Manchester United

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer "so happy" for Jesse Lingard

David de Gea opens up on last-gasp penalty save

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 24.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-0 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
West Ham United	Draw	Manchester United
24.96%	26.27%	48.77%

Both teams to score 48.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.36%

55.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.21%

76.79%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.29%

37.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.51%

74.49%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15%

22.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.42%

56.58%

Score Analysis

West Ham United 24.96%

Manchester United 48.77%

Draw 26.27%

West Ham United	Draw	Manchester United
1-0 @ 8.4% 2-1 @ 6.05% 2-0 @ 4.1% 3-1 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.45% 3-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.66% Total : 24.96%	1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 8.62% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 12.72% 0-2 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-3 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 4.51% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.82% Total : 48.77%