Make no mistake, this is a really difficult game for West Ham, with the Magpies a much-improved outfit. A few weeks ago, the Hammers would have fancied their chances of winning this match relatively comfortably, but we are backing Howe's side to claim a share of the spoils at London Stadium on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 17.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
West Ham United	Draw	Newcastle United
60.33%	22.53%	17.14%

Both teams to score 48.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.1%

49.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.11%

71.89%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.87%

16.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.45%

45.55%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.41%

42.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.06%

78.94%

Score Analysis

West Ham United 60.33%

Newcastle United 17.14%

Draw 22.52%

West Ham United	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 12.53% 2-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 6.96% 3-1 @ 5.94% 4-0 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.53% 5-0 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2% Total : 60.33%	1-1 @ 10.69% 0-0 @ 6.87% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.52%	0-1 @ 5.86% 1-2 @ 4.57% 0-2 @ 2.5% 1-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.73% Total : 17.14%