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Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 27, 2021 at 8pm UK
St James' Park
MU

Newcastle
1 - 1
Man Utd

Saint-Maximin (7')
Krafth (66'), Joelinton (70'), Manquillo (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cavani (71')
Ronaldo (57'), Fernandes (66'), Maguire (68')

We said: Newcastle United 0-3 Manchester United

Facing multiple members of the established Big Six in successive gameweeks was always going to spell danger for Newcastle, who are working with a depleted and easily breachable defence. Man United fans will be demanding more attacking impetus from their star-studded frontline, and Monday's game ought to provide the perfect opportunity for Rangnick to oversee a convincing win with plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawManchester United
18.56%22.06%59.39%
Both teams to score 52.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.23%45.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.91%68.09%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.51%38.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.76%75.24%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.97%15.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.48%43.53%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 18.56%
    Manchester United 59.38%
    Draw 22.05%
Newcastle UnitedDrawManchester United
1-0 @ 5.53%
2-1 @ 5%
2-0 @ 2.64%
3-1 @ 1.59%
3-2 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 18.56%
1-1 @ 10.46%
0-0 @ 5.79%
2-2 @ 4.74%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.05%
0-1 @ 10.96%
0-2 @ 10.38%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-3 @ 6.56%
1-3 @ 6.27%
0-4 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 2.99%
1-4 @ 2.97%
2-4 @ 1.42%
0-5 @ 1.18%
1-5 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 59.38%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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