Newcastle will view this match as the perfect chance to secure their second league victory of the campaign, but Watford will also believe that they can cause problems to their fellow strugglers; it should be a close game at St James' Park, but we are backing Wood to find the back of the net in a 2-1 home success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Watford
35.61%	28.06%	36.33%

Both teams to score 47.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.54%

58.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.95%

79.05%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.78%

31.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.44%

67.56%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.24%

30.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.98%

67.02%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 35.6%

Watford 36.33%

Draw 28.06%

Newcastle United	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 3% Total : 35.6%	1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 9.6% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.06%	0-1 @ 11.32% 1-2 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 6.67% 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.12% Total : 36.33%