An unexpected Watford victory certainly cannot be ruled out here, although West Ham are sure to revert to their strongest XI after the fringe players were nearly embarrassed by Kidderminster. Hodgson has already placed a greater emphasis on defensive solidity at Vicarage Road, but Moyes's side should reignite their European charge with all three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Watford had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for West Ham United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for West Ham United.

Result
West Ham United	Draw	Watford
55.55%	23.95%	20.5%

Both teams to score 49.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.02%

50.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.15%

72.85%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.78%

18.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.77%

49.23%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.6%

39.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.91%

76.09%

Score Analysis

West Ham United 55.54%

Watford 20.5%

Draw 23.95%

West Ham United	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 12.21% 2-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 5.91% 3-1 @ 5.5% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.31% Total : 55.54%	1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.95%	0-1 @ 6.68% 1-2 @ 5.3% 0-2 @ 3.11% 1-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.4% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.38% Total : 20.5%