SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 54.83%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 22.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | West Ham United |
54.83% ( 0.55) | 22.26% ( 0.22) | 22.91% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 58.43% ( -1.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.16% ( -1.93) | 40.84% ( 1.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.77% ( -2) | 63.23% ( 2) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.16% ( -0.48) | 14.84% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.84% ( -0.93) | 43.15% ( 0.93) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.62% ( -1.72) | 31.38% ( 1.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.25% ( -2.04) | 67.75% ( 2.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | West Ham United |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.62)2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3% Total : 54.83% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.23)0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.4)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.71% Total : 22.91% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
