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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The City Ground
LT

Nott'm Forest
2 - 2
Luton

Wood (48', 76')
Sangare (60'), Gibbs-White (82'), Murillo (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ogbene (83'), Adebayo (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 0-1 Spurs
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawLuton Town
33.8% (0.0030000000000001 0) 28.3% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 37.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 46.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)59.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.18% (-0.004999999999999 -0)79.82% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08%32.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)69.5%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.71% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)30.29% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.54% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)66.46% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 33.79%
    Luton Town 37.9%
    Draw 28.29%
Nottingham ForestDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 7.35%
2-0 @ 6.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 33.79%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 9.97% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.29%
0-1 @ 11.9%
1-2 @ 7.9%
0-2 @ 7.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 1.75%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.9%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Brentford
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Burnley
Monday, September 18 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-1 Burnley
Wednesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Luton 0-1 Spurs
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-2 Burnley
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-2 Luton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Luton
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Wolves
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 1-0 Luton
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Premier League


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