We said: Watford 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur
Spurs have shown considerable improvement under Conte's management, and the top-four hopefuls will be desperate to return to winning ways this weekend. Watford are capable of pulling off big results at home, but we are finding it difficult to back the Hornets to get anything out of this match.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 60.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 17.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.16%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Watford win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tottenham Hotspur in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Tottenham Hotspur.